Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 2.912967e-05 3.479089e-05 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000065 0.000075
2025-03-23 2.143293e-05 2.860254e-05 0.000037 0.000047 0.000060 0.000074 0.000091
2025-03-30 1.609323e-05 2.381497e-05 0.000033 0.000046 0.000062 0.000080 0.000104
2025-04-06 1.200331e-05 1.969244e-05 0.000030 0.000044 0.000062 0.000085 0.000114
2025-04-13 8.530546e-06 1.566303e-05 0.000026 0.000041 0.000061 0.000086 0.000120
2025-04-20 6.448687e-06 1.318835e-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000061 0.000090 0.000129
2025-04-27 5.115081e-06 1.158892e-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000063 0.000095 0.000140
2025-05-04 4.273542e-06 1.063325e-05 0.000021 0.000039 0.000066 0.000102 0.000153
2025-05-11 3.975353e-06 1.060017e-05 0.000022 0.000042 0.000072 0.000113 0.000173
2025-05-18 3.442967e-06 9.998337e-06 0.000022 0.000043 0.000076 0.000121 0.000188
2025-05-25 2.449788e-06 8.187894e-06 0.000020 0.000040 0.000073 0.000121 0.000191
2025-06-01 1.804632e-06 6.936905e-06 0.000018 0.000038 0.000072 0.000122 0.000197
2025-06-08 1.213928e-06 5.713772e-06 0.000016 0.000037 0.000073 0.000127 0.000210
2025-06-15 8.169197e-07 4.793442e-06 0.000015 0.000037 0.000075 0.000133 0.000225
2025-06-22 5.106660e-07 3.917712e-06 0.000014 0.000035 0.000075 0.000138 0.000238
2025-06-29 2.831700e-07 3.072640e-06 0.000012 0.000034 0.000075 0.000142 0.000248
2025-07-06 1.203957e-07 2.203552e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000072 0.000141 0.000253
2025-07-13 5.318864e-08 1.706244e-06 0.000009 0.000030 0.000072 0.000144 0.000263
2025-07-20 2.398530e-08 1.402388e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000073 0.000150 0.000278
2025-07-27 1.166109e-08 1.231651e-06 0.000008 0.000030 0.000076 0.000158 0.000297
2025-08-03 8.863738e-09 1.247350e-06 0.000009 0.000032 0.000083 0.000173 0.000327
2025-08-10 4.158449e-09 1.136545e-06 0.000009 0.000033 0.000087 0.000184 0.000349
2025-08-17 2.230291e-10 7.906966e-07 0.000007 0.000031 0.000084 0.000183 0.000354